
Investment Manager’s Review
Portfolio activity
Our research team has continued to focus on individual stock
ideas where we can identify positive, company-specific drivers
for future performance. During the period, there were a
number of changes to the portfolio that reflect our ongoing
efforts to maintain an appropriate portfolio balance that
provides exposure to our highest conviction ideas.
One new idea that was introduced to the portfolio during the
year is Kyoritsu Maintenance, a small cap service company that
operates reasonably-priced hotels under the Dormy Inn brand.
We view the company as a key beneficiary of economic
reopening and the return of inbound tourists to Japan. This
bodes well for volume increases and potential price rises. The
Dormy Inn brand has a strong competitive position and the
company is maintaining higher occupancy and utilisation ratios
in its hotels. We do not believe the market fully acknowledges
the company’s existing strengths, nor does it appreciate its
growth prospects. Consequently, we initiated a position in June
as a new market oversight idea.
We also initiated a position in Mitsui Chemicals, a mid cap
diversified chemical company. For some time now, Mitsui
Chemicals has been engaged in the process of transforming its
business model and portfolio with the aim of improving
profitability and better insulating its financial performance from
the impact of the commodity cycle. We believe the company’s
strategy is sensible and comprehensive, and it is now beginning
to realise the benefits of this transformation. During the current
cyclical slowdown in its end markets, Mitsui’s earnings have
been much more resilient when compared to both history and
its peers. Nevertheless, the shares remain considerably
undervalued. A single digit price-earnings ratio and a price-to-
book ratio of less than one suggest the market has not yet
reflected the company’s positive transformation, making this a
new market misperception idea.
In terms of exits, we decided to take profits in Itochu and shift
the portfolio towards stocks that we view as more attractively
valued. Itochu has performed well for the portfolio, in part
perhaps thanks to the news that Warren Buffet had added to
his position in the shares.
We also sold out of East Japan Railway. We continue to view it
as a best-in-class stock in the Transportation & Logistics sector,
which is well-positioned to benefit from the reopening of the
domestic economy. However, the pace of its earnings recovery
has been held back by cost increases and regulatory
headwinds. In combination with a relatively solid share price
performance, we have concluded that its near-term earnings
recovery prospects are already reflected in the share price.
Meanwhile, we have several other positions that are more
directly exposed to the domestic reopening theme, so we
decided to reallocate capital towards those other positions in
which we have stronger conviction.
Outlook
We believe that the Japanese equity market currently provides
one of the most attractive opportunities, particularly for long-
term investors. Several developments that are unique to Japan
should combine to support sustained corporate earnings
growth and increasing valuation multiples in the years ahead.
From an economic perspective, we should see a continued
cyclical recovery following the lifting of Covid restrictions. More
importantly, after more than two decades of deflationary
pressure, the emergence of “positive” inflation, led by wage
growth, is immensely encouraging. Not all inflation can be
viewed as positive, but Japan is experiencing lower rates of
inflation than in many other parts of the world. This suggests
that the re-emergence of inflation in Japan can be viewed as an
opportunity rather than a threat.
Indeed, the implications of this positive inflation should not be
under-estimated for corporate Japan. This is an environment in
which Japanese companies can regain pricing power (the ability
to raise prices in response to inflation) which, when coupled
with improved consumer purchasing power through wage
increases, should drive healthy levels of corporate earnings
growth. An element of these higher profits can then be recycled
back into the economy through further wage increases, driving
a positive cycle of broader economic progress that has been
largely absent from Japan for a generation.
Meanwhile, corporate governance reforms are likely to remain
a structural driver of the Japanese equity market in the years
ahead. Historically, the structure of corporate Japan has been
dominated by the keiretsu system of cross-shareholdings and
close relationships between customers, suppliers, their banks
and competitors. This system has been increasingly criticised
from a governance perspective because it can lead to inefficient
capital allocation and poor decision-making. In recent years,
however, we have begun to see meaningful change, with
companies, investors and regulators such as the Tokyo Stock
Exchange, working together to raise corporate governance
standards, with the aim of improving returns and growth
prospects. The success of these initiatives is reflected in the
level of dividends and share buybacks from Japanese
companies. These have been rising steadily in recent years and
currently stand at record levels, but there remains scope for
considerable further positive progress as the corporate
governance revolution unfolds.
The Japanese stock market has reached multi-decade highs in
recent months in response to these positive domestic
developments. Nevertheless, the equity market as a whole
looks attractively valued when compared to other regions’
markets and in the context of history. Many listed Japanese
companies continue to trade below their book value despite the
ongoing corporate governance movement. This suggests the
market is not yet fully reflecting the progress that many
businesses are making to improve returns. We are confident
we can continue to find selective opportunities for businesses
to transform both their growth prospects and their market
rating through better capital allocation and by considering the
needs of all their stakeholders, shareholders included. These
opportunities remain concentrated at the lower end of the
market cap spectrum, where valuations are also even more
attractive, despite the high quality of many businesses and their
superior growth potential.
To conclude, there are many reasons to believe that we may be
entering a period of sustained outperformance from the
Japanese stock market. We are seeing renewed appetite for
Japanese equity from global investors and this demand should
continue to grow as the positive domestic story becomes better
understood. This represents a fertile environment for active,
high conviction stock pickers, and we are excited at the
opportunity that lies ahead for investors in the company.
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Schroder Japan Trust plc
176777 Schroders Japan Growth Fund Annual Report Pt1.qxp_176777 Schroders Japan Growth Fund Annual Report Pt1 28/09/2023 21:40 Page 8