
Financial review and Risk report
3i Infrastructure plc Annual report and accounts 2022 79
Risk report continued
Medium-term resilience
The assessment of medium-term
resilience, which includes modelling of
stressed scenarios and reverse stress tests,
considers the viability and performance
of the Company in the event of specific
stressed scenarios which are assumed to
occur over a three-year horizon. This stress
testing forms the basis of the Viability
statement below.
The Directors consider that a three-year
period to March 2025 is an appropriate
period to review for assessing the
Company’s viability. This reflects greater
predictability of the Company’s cash
flows over that time period and increased
uncertainty surrounding economic,
political and regulatory changes over
thelonger term.
The stress testing focuses on the principal
risks, but also reflects those new and
emerging risks that are considered to
be of sufficient importance to require
active monitoring by the Audit and Risk
Committee. The scenarios used are
described in the Viability statement
below. The medium-term resilience of the
Company is assessed through analysing
the impact of these scenarios on key
metrics such as total return, income yield,
net asset value, covenants on the RCF
andavailable liquidity.
The Directors have considered the potential
impact on the Company of a number of
scenarios in addition to the Company’s
business plan and recent forecasts, which
quantify the financial impact of the principal
risks occurring. These scenarios represent
severe yet plausible circumstances that the
Company could experience, including a
significant impairment in the value of the
portfolio and a reduction in the cash flows
available from portfolio companies from
avariety of causes.
The assessment was conducted over
several months, during which the proposed
scenarios were evaluated by the Board,
the assumptions set, and the analysis
produced and reviewed. Analysis included
the impact of an escalation of the war in
Ukraine on our portfolio companies and the
impact of a resulting economic downturn.
Other considerations included the possible
impact of climate-related events and
transition risks, widespread economic
turmoil, a reduction in cash distributions
from portfolio companies to the Company,
a tightening of debt markets and the failure
of a large investment.
Viability statement
The Directors consider the medium-term
prospects of the Company to be favourable.
The Company has a diverse portfolio of
infrastructure investments, producing
good and reasonably predictable levels of
income which cover the dividend and costs.
The defensive nature of the portfolio and of
the essential services that the businesses in
which we invest provide to their customers
are being demonstrated in the current
climate. The Investment Manager has a
strong track record of investing in carefully
selected businesses and projects and of
driving value through an engaged asset
management approach. The Directors
consider that this portfolio can continue
tomeet the Company’s objectives.
The Directors have assessed the viability
of the Company over a three-year period
to March 2025. The Directors have taken
account of the current position of the
Company, including its strong liquidity
position with £17 million of cash and
£769 million of undrawn credit facilities,
its
commitment of c.£300 million to
the new
investment in GCX described
in the Going concern section above,
and the principal risks it faces which
are
documented in this Risk report.
The assumptions used to model these
scenarios included a fall in value of some or
all of the portfolio companies, a reduction
in cash flows from portfolio companies,
areduction in the level of new investment,
the imposition of additional taxes on
distributions from, or transactions in, the
portfolio companies, an increase in the cost
of debt and restriction in debt availability,
and an inability for the Company to raise
equity. The implications of changes in the
inflation, interest rate and foreign exchange
environment were also considered,
separately and in combination.
The results of this stress testing showed that
the Company would be able to withstand
the impact of these scenarios occurring
over the three-year period. The Directors
also considered scenarios that would
represent a serious threat to its liquidity and
viability in that time period. These scenarios
were considered to be remote, such as
a fall in equity value of the portfolio of
materially more than 50% whilst being fully
drawn on the RCF including the accordion,
oranequivalent fall in income.
Based on this assessment, the Directors
have a reasonable expectation that the
Company will be able to continue in
operation and meet its liabilities as they
fall due over the three-year period to
March 2025.