
Annual Report and Accounts
for the year ended 31 August 2022
7
Strategic Report
Manager’s Review
economies, combined with interest rates starting to move up
was a relatively positive backdrop for the fund as it favoured
some of the more economically sensitive sectors, such as
financials and materials, at the expense of the more expensive
growth names. Our overweight to, and stock selection in,
financials and materials added value. In financials this was
driven by the positions in banks which in general benefitted
from a firming of interest rate expectations combined with their
low valuations. The Australian resources exposure was also
positive thanks to higher commodity prices driven by the global
recovery. This saw the stocks generate substantial levels of free
cash flow which in turn led to record dividend payments. A lack
of exposure to the higher growth names was also positive with
rising rates weighing on valuations. In particular, internet and
healthcare names, which tend to pay little or no dividend and
where the fund has no exposure, lagged in the period.
Our overweight to information technology was a headwind as
the sector saw negative earnings revisions, but our positions
added value thanks to strong stock selection in some of the
Taiwanese names, which more than offset the negative from
being overweight the sector. The fund’s real estate holdings
also added value thanks to being overweight as well as from
positive stock selection. A lack of Chinese private developers
and exposure to some of the Singaporean names that, in part,
benefitted from ‘opening up’ helped here.
From a regional perspective, positioning in Singapore and
China were the major contributors to relative performance. In
China, both the significant underweight to, and stock selection
in, the market added value, as the ongoing issues highlighted
above impacted stocks. Here, the internet names were among
those that bore the brunt of the sell down. In Singapore, stock
selection was very strong owing to our positioning in banks,
telcos and property. Those areas also saw the Hong Kong
overweight add value. Our small overweight to Australia, being
the best performing of the larger markets, helped but again it
was stock selection in materials and financials that had the
bigger impact. Whilst stock selection was also strong in Korea
and Taiwan, our underweight to some of the other ASEAN
markets, in particular Malaysia and the Philippines detracted.
The geographic exposure in the Company’s portfolio continues
to be mainly spread between Taiwan, Australia, Singapore,
Hong Kong, Korea and China. China remains a substantial
underweight but is, in part, offset by the overweight to Hong
Kong. Over the period we did reduce our exposure to Hong
Kong by reducing exposure to some of the property names that
had performed relatively well and by selling our Macau gaming
stock early on in the period. Here, concerns over regulation
together with ongoing uncertainty as to when travel restrictions
would be relaxed due to further COVID outbreaks were the
driver. Elsewhere, we added to Singapore, where we are
overweight, and also to a limited extent to Korea.
As throughout much of 2021, portfolio moves tended to take
advantage of the valuation spread that we saw across
industries, reducing those stocks that had performed
particularly strongly and now looked more fully valued in favour
of those names that had lagged and looked more attractive
from a valuation perspective. We continued in aggregate to add
to financials where we are overweight with valuations still
looking relatively attractive given higher interest rates and
subdued credit costs. Here we added to Korean, Australian and
Indonesian names, albeit these were partly funded from names
elsewhere including in Taiwan. Real estate continues to be an
important sector in the fund but we did reduce the size of that
overweight, taking profits in Hong Kong and China names that
had performed relatively well despite concerns over the
Chinese property sector. We own one Chinese name which has
performed strongly but do not own any of the private
residential developers where the problems have been centred.
We have also taken money out of some of the Singapore REITs
that are sensitive to rising rates and have been experiencing
large increases in costs.
The other area where we have reduced exposure is in the
materials sector where sales have been focussed in the
Australian names. The sector has performed strongly over the
last year, in part helped by the surge in commodity prices.
Information technology is the biggest sectoral exposure in the
fund after financials. Although near term earnings have been
seeing downward revisions we continue to see some strong
long-term drivers for growth around digitisation and the roll
out of 5G and the ‘Internet of Things’ and our focus remains on
the Taiwanese and Korean companies.
Investment Outlook
Slowing global and weak Chinese growth, elevated geopolitical
tensions around Ukraine and Taiwan and rising interest rates,
combined with ongoing downward revisions to earnings, mean
that headwinds for markets are likely to continue. However,
some areas of the markets are starting to look more attractive
from a longer term perspective having derated markedly.
Globally, consumption is under pressure as rising prices eat into
real incomes. This, allied with the shift away from consumption
of goods to consumption of services as the majority of
economies open up post-pandemic, has seen the demand for
goods falter. This in turn has started to see inventories
accumulate across supply chains globally, leading to a fear that
we will see a painful period of inventory adjustment on top of
an already slowing global economy. From an Asian perspective,
this is likely to have an impact on exports and from our
portfolio’s perspective is most likely to evidence itself in the
technology hardware sector. To an extent, markets have
already started to discount this with technology names in both
Korea and Taiwan already underperforming despite earnings
holding up relatively well for now. In our view, valuations are
now starting to factor in a slowdown but not yet a “hard
landing” which, although not our base case, is a possibility. In
general, the stocks we own in this sector are leaders in their
area with high market shares and strong balance sheets on
attractive valuations, so in our view should prove to be relatively
resilient. Although we did take some money out of the sector
earlier in the year, we remain overweight.
The other trend that the pandemic and Ukraine crisis have
reinforced has been the need for increased self sufficiency. The
need for diversified supply chains was something that the
COVID crisis had highlighted, given the disruption the
pandemic caused. With security of supply already a focus in
areas such as semiconductor production thanks to ongoing US-
China tensions and the concentration of advanced
manufacturing in Taiwan, the Ukraine conflict has also
highlighted the vulnerability of nations to energy supply
dependency. The recently concluded Party Congress in China
saw President Xi mention ‘security’ 91 times in his opening
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