
12
Type of Risk
Description and Possible Impact
Mitigating Action
Trend
Emerging Risks relating to the Cuban Financial System (continued)
Currency Devaluation Risk
As part of the 2020 economic reform
package adopted by the Cuban
government, new currency reforms
aimed at harmonising exchange rates
and eliminating Cuba’s dual currency
system required all foreign investment
vehicles to convert and denominate
their assets and legal obligations, and to
carry out all transactions previously
denominated and carried out in U.S.
dollars in Cuban Pesos (CUP). At
present, the Cuban Peso has a fixed
(non-market) exchange rate of US$1.00 :
CUP24, which may be subject to
devaluation at the discretion of the
Cuban Central Bank. In addition, as
from the adoption of new rules for the
tourism sector implemented over 2023,
a second exchange rate of US$1.00 :
CUP120 has been established for the
tourism sector. Included in the 2023
and 2024 year-end announcements of
Prime Minister Marrero was an
indication that the Cuban Central Bank
will be establishing a new (presumably
devalued) exchange rate for the CUP. It
is uncertain whether any devaluation
will apply to the investments of the
Company. Any future devaluation of the
CUP may have a negative impact on the
valuation of the assets and operations of
the Cuban joint venture companies in
which the Company holds an interest.
The currency devaluation risk
associated with the imposition of the
CUP as sole currency for operations is
significant. It is uncertain whether this
risk will be partially or fully mitigated by
the announced partial dollarisation of
the economy that will form part of the
newly announced measures.
The cash and currency positions of each
of the joint venture companies in which
the Company holds an interest are
continuously monitored for the
purpose of reducing currency risk to
the greatest extent possible. CUP bank
balances of all joint venture companies
are presently valued by the Company in
U.S. dollars using the US$1.00 : CUP120
exchange rate (notwithstanding the fact
that the official US$1.00 : CUP24
exchange rate is still applicable to
Monte Barreto).
Wherever possible, in order to mitigate
devaluation risk, Management requires
that the joint venture companies in
which the Company holds an interest
declare and distribute dividends, on an
interim basis, as frequently as possible.
There are presently no hedging
mechanisms available to mitigate this
risk.
General Liquidity of the Cuban
Financial System and
Repatriation Risk
The high and increasing level of tension
between the United States and Cuba
and the imposition by the Trump
administration of harsh new U.S.
sanctions against Cuba, which have
resulted in steep reductions in U.S.
family remittances and travellers to the
island, as well as the continued impact
in Cuba of the economic shocks caused
by the Covid-19 pandemic, together
with numerous difficulties resulting
from the implementation of the
financial and currency reform measures
described above, have had strong
negative effects on the fragile economic
and liquidity positions in Cuba.
Throughout 2024 there have been
significant delays in the timing of
international transfers from Cuba. The
duration of these negative effects is
unknown, and they may in turn have a
continuing negative impact on the
ability of the joint venture companies in
which the Company has an interest to
make distributions abroad, which in
turn may have a negative impact on the
Company.
Management actively monitors and
manages the liquidity position of the
Company, its subsidiaries and the joint
ventures in which it holds an interest to
the greatest extent possible so that
cashflows of the Company are
transferred to bank accounts outside
Cuba. Management has no control or
influence over the execution or timing
of payments to be transferred by Cuban
banks to the Company’s international
bank accounts.
Risks relating to the War in
Ukraine
Cuba maintains strong historical,
political and economic ties to Russia
and to Ukraine. The Russian-Ukrainian
conflict that erupted in February 2022
initially resulted in an abrupt halt to
Russian and Ukrainian tourism to the
island. Further aspects of the Russia-
Cuba and Ukraine-Cuba relationships
may eventually be affected by the
conflict, including Russian and
Ukrainian investments in Cuba,
banking relationships and other areas.
Although the conflict resulted in a sharp
reduction in the number of tourists
travelling from Russia and Ukraine to
Cuba, the operator of the Company’s
tourism assets has refocused its
marketing efforts to attract tourists
from its historical principal tourist
supplier (Canada) and other countries.
PRINCIPAL RISKS