12 Annual Report 2023
Investment Manager’s Review
Strategic Report
The role of the annual Investment Managers’ review is to look
both backwards and forwards. Looking backwards, we are
disappointed with what we delivered for shareholders over the last
12 months. However, looking forward to 2023 and beyond, we feel
a sense of profound optimism for the portfolio and new opportunities.
Performance
Our aspiration is to generate a net return for the Company of
approximately three times invested capital over rolling 10 year
periods, measured on the basis of NAV total return on the portfolio.
During the year to 31 January 2023, the NAV total return of the
ordinary shares and the C shares was negative 24.5% and negative
18.4% respectively. The path to long-term capital growth is never
straight, and periods of volatility and underperformance are
inevitable. However, even in this context, 2022 was a year in
which we stepped backwards rather than forwards. We are
conscious that this has been particularly felt by newer investors,
who did not experience the strong performance of the ordinary
shares in the previous two financial years.
Across The Schiehallion Fund, poor NAV performance was
driven by significant declines in the value of our holdings that
had entered the public markets, markdowns in the carrying values
of our private company investments due to reductions in the
valuations of comparable public companies and indices, and poor
operational performance from some portfolio companies. Pain for
both ordinary and C shareholders was exacerbated by share price
swings from significant premiums to NAV to discounts to NAV.
Portfolio
Whilst we can feel gloomy looking at investment returns over the
last 12 months, we only need to look at the companies in The
Schiehallion Fund to start feeling more optimistic. We believe
shareholders’ capital is invested in some of the best private
companies in the world, capable of delivering outsized investment
returns over the long run. This is not without risk, or even in some
cases, controversy. As we exited 2022, the five largest holdings
were SpaceX, Scopely, ByteDance, Solugen, and Wise. It would
be hard to imagine a more diverse set of businesses than those
making money selling access to space, virtual in-game goods,
advertising, speciality chemicals, and foreign exchange. In each
of these companies, there are strong founders, robust competitive
advantages, and huge addressable markets. The average growth
rate of these companies was approximately 50% and three of the
five are profitable.
It is not just at the top end of the portfolio where the quality of
companies and the scale of potential upside gives us real optimism.
Looking at the whole portfolio, the average revenue growth rate
was just over 50%
†
in the last 12 months. Holdings such as
Databricks are helping organisations use advances in AI to improve
their use of data to inform product development and decision-
making. Away, a direct-to-consumer luggage business, has seen
a significant upswing in its business after a tough time during
Covid-19. McMakler, a digital German real estate broker, is
weathering a tough operating environment but (we believe)
taking significant share from its competitors. We hope the extra
detail around portfolio companies included in the review of
investments on pages 17 to 24 will help convey this excitement
and optimism to shareholders.
Of course, some companies met challenges in 2022. Consumer-
facing companies that saw leaps forward in demand in 2020–2022
saw growth rates come back as consumer spending retrenched,
and they started to lag those big increases. We saw this in
companies such as Affirm, Warby Parker, Masterclass and Pet
Circle. Epic Games faced another kind of challenge in a large fine
by the FTC for historical issues around online child protection and
payment practices. These issues have long since been rectified,
but it was nevertheless short of the standards we expect of our
companies.
Investing in Late-stage Private Companies
We typically invest in late-stage private companies that are scaling
up and becoming profitable. At the stage we invest, founders are
no longer looking for the operational support traditional venture
capital firms offer. Instead, we provide long-term patient capital to
fund further expansion, often holding businesses after they have
listed on public markets, to capture their full growth potential.
One of the benefits of investing in late stage private companies
is that these companies tend to have well-established financing
teams and diversified banking relationships. This benefit was
evident during the recent uncertainty in the banking sector.
We engaged with all the private companies in our portfolios
to help better understand their banking relationships and any
potential impacts. The vast majority of investee companies had no
material exposure to Silicon Valley Bank. In addition, we were
reassured by the Federal Reserve’s announcements that deposits
would be accessible and that affected companies were able to
access their deposits and continue with business as usual.
Deployment
2022 was also a frustrating year for deployment. Our universe
has no shortage of attractive companies, but we made fewer
investments in the last 12 months than in any year since
inception. Three factors drove this. Firstly, many good companies
chose not to raise due to adverse market conditions. Secondly,
there was often a mismatch between companies’ valuation
expectations and what we believed reflected market conditions.
This led to us walking away from opportunities after deep
diligence based on price. Finally, in one notable instance where
we found a good business at a compelling price, misalignments
uncovered in our legal due diligence process caused us to walk
away from the investment.
The net result was that deployment from the C-Share pool was
slower than anticipated.
During the year, we invested in two new companies, Kepler
Computing and Merlin Labs; further information on each is
included in the review of investments. We also added to existing
investments in Loft, Northvolt, Affirm, Brex, Databricks, Faire
Wholesale, Solugen, Tempus and Ver Se. As at 31 January 2023,
approximately 79% of C share proceeds had been deployed.
†
Alternative performance measure, see Glossary of Terms and Alternative Performance Measures on pages 72 and 73.